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Litigation finance

Diligence guide

status: draft

Diligence guide

Litigation finance diligence operates at multiple levels: single-case assessment for direct exposure, portfolio analysis for diversified structures, and manager evaluation for fund investments. This guide provides frameworks for each.

Case-level diligence

Single-case exposure is binary—you win or lose everything. Diligence must be exhaustive.

Never rely solely on plaintiff’s counsel. Independent review is essential.

Diligence ElementKey Questions
Liability theoryIs the legal theory established or novel? Prior court rulings in similar cases?
DefensesWhat defenses will defendant raise? How have those defenses performed historically?
Prior rulingsAny adverse summary judgment decisions or appellate rulings in comparable matters?
DocumentationQuality and completeness of documentary evidence? Chain of custody issues?
WitnessesAre key witnesses available, credible, and cooperative? What’s the bench depth?
Procedural issuesStatute of limitations, jurisdiction challenges, class certification risk?

Red flags:

  • Liability theory depends on novel or untested legal arguments
  • Key evidence is circumstantial or depends on inferences
  • Single witness with no corroboration
  • Prior adverse rulings in substantially similar cases
  • Procedural challenges likely to delay or defeat claims

Damages analysis

FactorAssessment Approach
Quantification methodologyHow are damages calculated? Is the methodology accepted by courts?
Expert reportsHas plaintiff retained credible damages experts? Are conclusions defensible?
Comparable awardsWhat have similar cases recovered? Verdict search analysis
Settlement vs. trialExpected settlement discount (typically 40-60% of trial value)
Punitive damagesAre punitives available? What multiple is realistic?
CollectabilityCan damages actually be collected? (see Defendant Analysis)

Damages checklist:

  • Review expert reports for methodology and supportability
  • Analyze comparable verdicts and settlements in jurisdiction
  • Stress test damages assumptions (conservative, base, optimistic)
  • Understand the gap between claimed and supportable damages
  • Assess whether damages theory is aggressive or defensible

Duration modeling

Litigation timelines consistently exceed projections. Build in realistic buffers.

PhaseTypical DurationVariance Factors
Discovery12-24 monthsComplexity, document volume, cooperation
Summary judgment3-6 monthsCourt docket, motion practice
Trial1-4 weeksComplexity, jury vs. bench
Post-trial motions3-6 monthsJMOL, new trial motions
Appeal12-24 monthsCircuit backlogs, en banc risk

Duration diligence:

FactorWhat to Review
Current statusWhere is the case? What milestones are complete?
Scheduling ordersCourt deadlines and realistic compliance
Docket historyAny delays, continuances, or judicial reassignments?
Judge patternsHistorical time to resolution for this judge
Appeals riskWill defendant appeal? Is appealable issue present?
Settlement postureHave parties negotiated? What’s the gap?

Rule of thumb: Add 50% to plaintiff counsel’s timeline estimate. Assume at least one appeal for any case over $10M.

Defendant analysis

A judgment is worthless if you cannot collect.

FactorAssessment
Balance sheetAssets, liquidity, debt load, going concern risk
Insurance coveragePolicy limits, coverage disputes, reservation of rights
D&O insuranceFor fraud or fiduciary claims
Parent companyCan you pierce to parent or affiliates?
Bankruptcy riskWill defendant file before judgment?
JurisdictionWhere are assets? Is enforcement practical?

Insurance analysis checklist:

  • Obtain insurance policies (or reliable disclosure of limits)
  • Assess coverage applicability (what exclusions may apply?)
  • Review reservation of rights letters (insurer may dispute coverage)
  • Evaluate insurer financial strength
  • Consider stacking (multiple policy years or towers)

Cross-border enforcement:

For defendants with assets outside the US, assess:

  • Treaty obligations (bilateral investment treaties, enforcement conventions)
  • Local enforcement procedures and timelines
  • Asset tracing complexity and cost
  • Practical collectability given local law

status: draft

Portfolio-level diligence

Portfolio exposure shifts analysis from individual case merit to construction quality and diversification.

Diversification analysis

DimensionTarget LimitRationale
Single caseNo >15% of committed capitalLimits binary loss impact
Single defendantNo >20% of committed capitalDefendant bankruptcy risk
Case typeNo >30% in single typeLegal theory concentration
Law firmNo >40% with single firmFirm financial risk
JurisdictionNo >30% in single circuit/stateJudicial pattern risk
Resolution timingStaggered maturitiesAvoid J-curve concentration

Diversification checklist:

  • Map concentration by case type (contract, IP, securities, antitrust, etc.)
  • Map concentration by defendant (individual and related entities)
  • Map concentration by jurisdiction (federal circuit, state)
  • Map concentration by law firm (lead counsel)
  • Assess timing distribution (expected resolution years)

Correlation identification

Even “diversified” portfolios can have hidden correlations that cause simultaneous impairment.

Correlation TypeExampleDetection Method
Same defendantMultiple cases against Company XEntity mapping including affiliates
Same legal theoryAntitrust cases relying on same precedentLegal theory categorization
Same jurisdictionAll cases before Delaware ChanceryGeographic analysis
Same judgeMultiple cases assigned to Judge YDocket review
Same industryAll cases against tech companiesIndustry classification
Same economic triggerCases dependent on market conditionsMacro sensitivity analysis

Key question: What scenarios could impair multiple cases simultaneously?

  • Adverse appellate ruling on common legal theory
  • Defendant bankruptcy affecting multiple claims
  • Legislative change affecting case viability
  • Economic downturn affecting defendant ability to pay

Reserve and follow-on analysis

Portfolios require capital beyond initial case commitments.

Reserve PurposeTypical Allocation
Cost overruns15-25% of committed capital
Case extensions (appeals, retrials)5-10%
Opportunistic additions10-20%
Total reserve25-35%

Stress testing:

Run scenarios where multiple cases require follow-on funding simultaneously:

  • What if 3 cases need overrun funding in the same quarter?
  • What if the largest case needs 2x the original budget?
  • What if resolution extends 18 months beyond projection?

Track record analysis

Historical performance is the best predictor of manager capability.

MetricWhat to Assess
Win ratePercentage of cases with positive recovery
MOIC by vintageMultiple on invested capital by fund year
IRR by vintageTime-weighted returns
Duration actual vs. projectedAccuracy of timeline estimates
Loss ratePercentage of cases with zero recovery
Settlement vs. trial ratioHow cases resolve

Track record questions:

  • What is the historical win rate by case type?
  • How does actual duration compare to underwriting estimates?
  • What percentage of cases required follow-on funding?
  • How many cases were written off at zero vs. partial recovery?
  • What is the distribution of outcomes (hits vs. base hits vs. losses)?

status: draft

Funder/manager diligence

For fund investments, manager selection is as important as portfolio construction.

Team assessment

FactorEvaluation Criteria
Legal expertisePartners with litigation background? Specific practice area depth?
Investment experiencePrior fund management? Track record at prior shops?
Key-person riskDependence on 1-2 individuals? Succession planning?
Team stabilityTurnover history? Departures after poor performance?
Sourcing networkRelationships with law firms, plaintiffs, brokers?
Conflicts committeeIndependent oversight of investment decisions?

Key-person considerations:

  • Who are the 2-3 individuals the fund cannot lose?
  • What happens if they leave? (contractual provisions, track record attribution)
  • Is there a next generation being developed?

Investment process

Process ElementBest Practice
Case sourcingMultiple channels; not dependent on single relationship
Initial screeningClear criteria; high rejection rate (95%+)
Deep diligenceIndependent legal review; damages analysis
Investment committeeMultiple approvers; documented rationale
Ongoing monitoringRegular case updates; red flag identification
Exit disciplineClear criteria for settlement vs. trial; write-down protocols

Process questions:

  • How many opportunities are reviewed vs. funded annually?
  • Who has approval authority? What are the thresholds?
  • How is ongoing case performance tracked?
  • What triggers a decision to cut losses vs. continue funding?

Conflicts analysis

Conflict TypeWhat to Assess
Law firm relationshipsDoes the funder have exclusive or preferential arrangements?
Co-investmentDoes the GP co-invest personally? In which deals?
Fee arrangementsManagement fee vs. carried interest balance
Case referralsIs the funder paying for or receiving referral fees?
Multiple fundsDoes the funder have multiple funds that could compete?
Secondary salesCan the funder sell positions? To whom?

Alignment assessment

FactorStrong AlignmentWeak Alignment
GP commitment3%+ of fund size from GPMinimal GP investment
Carried interest20% after 8% preferredCatch-up on dollar one
Fund lifecycleEarly in deploymentLate-stage with legacy positions
Performance feesWhole-fund carryDeal-by-deal with no clawback
Hurdle8%+ preferred returnNo hurdle

status: draft

Champerty and maintenance

Champerty (third-party financing for litigation share) remains a concern in certain jurisdictions.

Jurisdiction StatusApproach
Clearly permittedCA, NY, TX, FL, IL, NV, AZ, NJ
DelawareChamperty doctrine retained; courts skeptical of funder control
UncertainMN, AL, SC, GA, PA, OH

Delaware-specific caution:

  • Court of Chancery has expressed concern about funder control
  • Ensure plaintiff retains all litigation decisions
  • Frame settlement approval as economic protection only
  • Consider New York governing law for funding agreement
  • Obtain Delaware counsel enforceability opinion

Assignment validity

If the structure involves claim assignment:

FactorAssessment
AssignabilityIs this claim type assignable under applicable law?
Contractual restrictionsDoes underlying contract prohibit assignment?
Notice requirementsMust defendant be notified? What are consequences?
Anti-assignment provisionsAre they enforceable in this jurisdiction?
Partial vs. full assignmentDifferent rules may apply

Privilege considerations

Properly structured funding can maintain attorney-client privilege.

StructurePrivilege Status
Funder reviews case memosMay waive privilege if funder not aligned party
Common interest agreementCan protect communications if properly drafted
Work product sharingGenerally more protected than privilege
Funding agreement itselfUsually discoverable (not privileged)

Best practices:

  • Execute common interest agreement before sharing case materials
  • Involve counsel in all substantive discussions
  • Separate funding negotiation from case strategy communications
  • Mark privileged communications clearly
  • Assume funding agreement will be disclosed

Regulatory developments

TrendDirectionImpact
Disclosure requirementsExpanding (federal, state, arbitration)Structure for transparency
Champerty restrictionsContracting (more states permitting)Broader market access
Consumer regulationExpandingPotential spillover to commercial
Institutional acceptanceGrowingMore standardized structures

Coming changes to monitor:

  • Federal Rules of Civil Procedure amendments on funding disclosure
  • State legislative activity (consumer protection spillover)
  • Arbitration institution rule updates
  • Bar association ethics opinions

status: draft

Diligence checklist summary

Single-case diligence

  • Independent legal merit review (not relying on plaintiff counsel alone)
  • Damages analysis with conservative, base, and optimistic scenarios
  • Duration modeling with realistic buffer (add 50% to estimates)
  • Defendant ability to pay (balance sheet + insurance + enforcement)
  • Lead counsel evaluation (track record, resources, alignment)
  • Governing law and champerty analysis

Portfolio diligence

  • Diversification mapping across all dimensions
  • Concentration limit compliance
  • Correlation identification (hidden dependencies)
  • Reserve adequacy and stress testing
  • Track record analysis by vintage and case type

Manager diligence

  • Team credentials and key-person risk
  • Investment process documentation
  • Conflicts identification and management
  • Alignment assessment (GP commit, carry structure)
  • Reference checks (law firms, LPs, co-investors)

Legal/structural diligence

  • Champerty risk assessment for relevant jurisdictions
  • Assignment validity (if applicable)
  • Privilege protection structures
  • Disclosure obligation mapping
  • Regulatory compliance confirmation

status: draft

Related: Single-Case Funding · Portfolio Financing · Legal Framework · Valuation

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