Litigation finance
Diligence guide
status: draft
Diligence guide
Litigation finance diligence operates at multiple levels: single-case assessment for direct exposure, portfolio analysis for diversified structures, and manager evaluation for fund investments. This guide provides frameworks for each.
Case-level diligence
Single-case exposure is binary—you win or lose everything. Diligence must be exhaustive.
Legal merit assessment
Never rely solely on plaintiff’s counsel. Independent review is essential.
| Diligence Element | Key Questions |
|---|---|
| Liability theory | Is the legal theory established or novel? Prior court rulings in similar cases? |
| Defenses | What defenses will defendant raise? How have those defenses performed historically? |
| Prior rulings | Any adverse summary judgment decisions or appellate rulings in comparable matters? |
| Documentation | Quality and completeness of documentary evidence? Chain of custody issues? |
| Witnesses | Are key witnesses available, credible, and cooperative? What’s the bench depth? |
| Procedural issues | Statute of limitations, jurisdiction challenges, class certification risk? |
Red flags:
- Liability theory depends on novel or untested legal arguments
- Key evidence is circumstantial or depends on inferences
- Single witness with no corroboration
- Prior adverse rulings in substantially similar cases
- Procedural challenges likely to delay or defeat claims
Damages analysis
| Factor | Assessment Approach |
|---|---|
| Quantification methodology | How are damages calculated? Is the methodology accepted by courts? |
| Expert reports | Has plaintiff retained credible damages experts? Are conclusions defensible? |
| Comparable awards | What have similar cases recovered? Verdict search analysis |
| Settlement vs. trial | Expected settlement discount (typically 40-60% of trial value) |
| Punitive damages | Are punitives available? What multiple is realistic? |
| Collectability | Can damages actually be collected? (see Defendant Analysis) |
Damages checklist:
- Review expert reports for methodology and supportability
- Analyze comparable verdicts and settlements in jurisdiction
- Stress test damages assumptions (conservative, base, optimistic)
- Understand the gap between claimed and supportable damages
- Assess whether damages theory is aggressive or defensible
Duration modeling
Litigation timelines consistently exceed projections. Build in realistic buffers.
| Phase | Typical Duration | Variance Factors |
|---|---|---|
| Discovery | 12-24 months | Complexity, document volume, cooperation |
| Summary judgment | 3-6 months | Court docket, motion practice |
| Trial | 1-4 weeks | Complexity, jury vs. bench |
| Post-trial motions | 3-6 months | JMOL, new trial motions |
| Appeal | 12-24 months | Circuit backlogs, en banc risk |
Duration diligence:
| Factor | What to Review |
|---|---|
| Current status | Where is the case? What milestones are complete? |
| Scheduling orders | Court deadlines and realistic compliance |
| Docket history | Any delays, continuances, or judicial reassignments? |
| Judge patterns | Historical time to resolution for this judge |
| Appeals risk | Will defendant appeal? Is appealable issue present? |
| Settlement posture | Have parties negotiated? What’s the gap? |
Rule of thumb: Add 50% to plaintiff counsel’s timeline estimate. Assume at least one appeal for any case over $10M.
Defendant analysis
A judgment is worthless if you cannot collect.
| Factor | Assessment |
|---|---|
| Balance sheet | Assets, liquidity, debt load, going concern risk |
| Insurance coverage | Policy limits, coverage disputes, reservation of rights |
| D&O insurance | For fraud or fiduciary claims |
| Parent company | Can you pierce to parent or affiliates? |
| Bankruptcy risk | Will defendant file before judgment? |
| Jurisdiction | Where are assets? Is enforcement practical? |
Insurance analysis checklist:
- Obtain insurance policies (or reliable disclosure of limits)
- Assess coverage applicability (what exclusions may apply?)
- Review reservation of rights letters (insurer may dispute coverage)
- Evaluate insurer financial strength
- Consider stacking (multiple policy years or towers)
Cross-border enforcement:
For defendants with assets outside the US, assess:
- Treaty obligations (bilateral investment treaties, enforcement conventions)
- Local enforcement procedures and timelines
- Asset tracing complexity and cost
- Practical collectability given local law
status: draft
Portfolio-level diligence
Portfolio exposure shifts analysis from individual case merit to construction quality and diversification.
Diversification analysis
| Dimension | Target Limit | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| Single case | No >15% of committed capital | Limits binary loss impact |
| Single defendant | No >20% of committed capital | Defendant bankruptcy risk |
| Case type | No >30% in single type | Legal theory concentration |
| Law firm | No >40% with single firm | Firm financial risk |
| Jurisdiction | No >30% in single circuit/state | Judicial pattern risk |
| Resolution timing | Staggered maturities | Avoid J-curve concentration |
Diversification checklist:
- Map concentration by case type (contract, IP, securities, antitrust, etc.)
- Map concentration by defendant (individual and related entities)
- Map concentration by jurisdiction (federal circuit, state)
- Map concentration by law firm (lead counsel)
- Assess timing distribution (expected resolution years)
Correlation identification
Even “diversified” portfolios can have hidden correlations that cause simultaneous impairment.
| Correlation Type | Example | Detection Method |
|---|---|---|
| Same defendant | Multiple cases against Company X | Entity mapping including affiliates |
| Same legal theory | Antitrust cases relying on same precedent | Legal theory categorization |
| Same jurisdiction | All cases before Delaware Chancery | Geographic analysis |
| Same judge | Multiple cases assigned to Judge Y | Docket review |
| Same industry | All cases against tech companies | Industry classification |
| Same economic trigger | Cases dependent on market conditions | Macro sensitivity analysis |
Key question: What scenarios could impair multiple cases simultaneously?
- Adverse appellate ruling on common legal theory
- Defendant bankruptcy affecting multiple claims
- Legislative change affecting case viability
- Economic downturn affecting defendant ability to pay
Reserve and follow-on analysis
Portfolios require capital beyond initial case commitments.
| Reserve Purpose | Typical Allocation |
|---|---|
| Cost overruns | 15-25% of committed capital |
| Case extensions (appeals, retrials) | 5-10% |
| Opportunistic additions | 10-20% |
| Total reserve | 25-35% |
Stress testing:
Run scenarios where multiple cases require follow-on funding simultaneously:
- What if 3 cases need overrun funding in the same quarter?
- What if the largest case needs 2x the original budget?
- What if resolution extends 18 months beyond projection?
Track record analysis
Historical performance is the best predictor of manager capability.
| Metric | What to Assess |
|---|---|
| Win rate | Percentage of cases with positive recovery |
| MOIC by vintage | Multiple on invested capital by fund year |
| IRR by vintage | Time-weighted returns |
| Duration actual vs. projected | Accuracy of timeline estimates |
| Loss rate | Percentage of cases with zero recovery |
| Settlement vs. trial ratio | How cases resolve |
Track record questions:
- What is the historical win rate by case type?
- How does actual duration compare to underwriting estimates?
- What percentage of cases required follow-on funding?
- How many cases were written off at zero vs. partial recovery?
- What is the distribution of outcomes (hits vs. base hits vs. losses)?
status: draft
Funder/manager diligence
For fund investments, manager selection is as important as portfolio construction.
Team assessment
| Factor | Evaluation Criteria |
|---|---|
| Legal expertise | Partners with litigation background? Specific practice area depth? |
| Investment experience | Prior fund management? Track record at prior shops? |
| Key-person risk | Dependence on 1-2 individuals? Succession planning? |
| Team stability | Turnover history? Departures after poor performance? |
| Sourcing network | Relationships with law firms, plaintiffs, brokers? |
| Conflicts committee | Independent oversight of investment decisions? |
Key-person considerations:
- Who are the 2-3 individuals the fund cannot lose?
- What happens if they leave? (contractual provisions, track record attribution)
- Is there a next generation being developed?
Investment process
| Process Element | Best Practice |
|---|---|
| Case sourcing | Multiple channels; not dependent on single relationship |
| Initial screening | Clear criteria; high rejection rate (95%+) |
| Deep diligence | Independent legal review; damages analysis |
| Investment committee | Multiple approvers; documented rationale |
| Ongoing monitoring | Regular case updates; red flag identification |
| Exit discipline | Clear criteria for settlement vs. trial; write-down protocols |
Process questions:
- How many opportunities are reviewed vs. funded annually?
- Who has approval authority? What are the thresholds?
- How is ongoing case performance tracked?
- What triggers a decision to cut losses vs. continue funding?
Conflicts analysis
| Conflict Type | What to Assess |
|---|---|
| Law firm relationships | Does the funder have exclusive or preferential arrangements? |
| Co-investment | Does the GP co-invest personally? In which deals? |
| Fee arrangements | Management fee vs. carried interest balance |
| Case referrals | Is the funder paying for or receiving referral fees? |
| Multiple funds | Does the funder have multiple funds that could compete? |
| Secondary sales | Can the funder sell positions? To whom? |
Alignment assessment
| Factor | Strong Alignment | Weak Alignment |
|---|---|---|
| GP commitment | 3%+ of fund size from GP | Minimal GP investment |
| Carried interest | 20% after 8% preferred | Catch-up on dollar one |
| Fund lifecycle | Early in deployment | Late-stage with legacy positions |
| Performance fees | Whole-fund carry | Deal-by-deal with no clawback |
| Hurdle | 8%+ preferred return | No hurdle |
status: draft
Legal and structural diligence
Champerty and maintenance
Champerty (third-party financing for litigation share) remains a concern in certain jurisdictions.
| Jurisdiction Status | Approach |
|---|---|
| Clearly permitted | CA, NY, TX, FL, IL, NV, AZ, NJ |
| Delaware | Champerty doctrine retained; courts skeptical of funder control |
| Uncertain | MN, AL, SC, GA, PA, OH |
Delaware-specific caution:
- Court of Chancery has expressed concern about funder control
- Ensure plaintiff retains all litigation decisions
- Frame settlement approval as economic protection only
- Consider New York governing law for funding agreement
- Obtain Delaware counsel enforceability opinion
Assignment validity
If the structure involves claim assignment:
| Factor | Assessment |
|---|---|
| Assignability | Is this claim type assignable under applicable law? |
| Contractual restrictions | Does underlying contract prohibit assignment? |
| Notice requirements | Must defendant be notified? What are consequences? |
| Anti-assignment provisions | Are they enforceable in this jurisdiction? |
| Partial vs. full assignment | Different rules may apply |
Privilege considerations
Properly structured funding can maintain attorney-client privilege.
| Structure | Privilege Status |
|---|---|
| Funder reviews case memos | May waive privilege if funder not aligned party |
| Common interest agreement | Can protect communications if properly drafted |
| Work product sharing | Generally more protected than privilege |
| Funding agreement itself | Usually discoverable (not privileged) |
Best practices:
- Execute common interest agreement before sharing case materials
- Involve counsel in all substantive discussions
- Separate funding negotiation from case strategy communications
- Mark privileged communications clearly
- Assume funding agreement will be disclosed
Regulatory developments
| Trend | Direction | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Disclosure requirements | Expanding (federal, state, arbitration) | Structure for transparency |
| Champerty restrictions | Contracting (more states permitting) | Broader market access |
| Consumer regulation | Expanding | Potential spillover to commercial |
| Institutional acceptance | Growing | More standardized structures |
Coming changes to monitor:
- Federal Rules of Civil Procedure amendments on funding disclosure
- State legislative activity (consumer protection spillover)
- Arbitration institution rule updates
- Bar association ethics opinions
status: draft
Diligence checklist summary
Single-case diligence
- Independent legal merit review (not relying on plaintiff counsel alone)
- Damages analysis with conservative, base, and optimistic scenarios
- Duration modeling with realistic buffer (add 50% to estimates)
- Defendant ability to pay (balance sheet + insurance + enforcement)
- Lead counsel evaluation (track record, resources, alignment)
- Governing law and champerty analysis
Portfolio diligence
- Diversification mapping across all dimensions
- Concentration limit compliance
- Correlation identification (hidden dependencies)
- Reserve adequacy and stress testing
- Track record analysis by vintage and case type
Manager diligence
- Team credentials and key-person risk
- Investment process documentation
- Conflicts identification and management
- Alignment assessment (GP commit, carry structure)
- Reference checks (law firms, LPs, co-investors)
Legal/structural diligence
- Champerty risk assessment for relevant jurisdictions
- Assignment validity (if applicable)
- Privilege protection structures
- Disclosure obligation mapping
- Regulatory compliance confirmation
status: draft
Related: Single-Case Funding · Portfolio Financing · Legal Framework · Valuation
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